Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.601908 0.667657 0.738757 0.821546 0.915531 1.019181 1.142510
2025-08-24 0.501066 0.592191 0.698429 0.832255 0.997482 1.196277 1.455800
2025-08-31 0.436801 0.538071 0.662141 0.826933 1.042479 1.318185 1.702992
2025-09-07 0.394576 0.502387 0.639846 0.830488 1.092059 1.444344 1.965079
2025-09-14 0.355885 0.465553 0.610047 0.817801 1.114603 1.532388 2.181597
2025-09-21 0.325912 0.436554 0.586603 0.809368 1.139377 1.622950 2.409878
2025-09-28 0.293568 0.401006 0.550251 0.777857 1.125564 1.652905 2.546111
2025-10-05 0.280133 0.390603 0.547995 0.794983 1.184957 1.798887 2.885505
2025-10-12 0.267194 0.379614 0.543540 0.807661 1.237712 1.938952 3.233295
2025-10-19 0.253864 0.366849 0.535107 0.812839 1.278082 2.061982 3.567386
2025-10-26 0.241681 0.354802 0.526610 0.816722 1.315968 2.183962 3.916049
2025-11-02 0.231742 0.345415 0.521371 0.825122 1.361801 2.324235 4.319825
2025-11-09 0.216558 0.327000 0.500758 0.806486 1.359174 2.377588 4.562182
2025-11-16 0.208520 0.319479 0.497279 0.816940 1.410110 2.537769 5.054096
2025-11-23 0.198223 0.307562 0.485579 0.811734 1.431051 2.641544 5.440297
2025-11-30 0.190389 0.299168 0.479133 0.815212 1.468504 2.782270 5.933664
2025-12-07 0.180462 0.286643 0.464729 0.802801 1.473410 2.855856 6.281144
2025-12-14 0.172005 0.276114 0.453092 0.794550 1.485653 2.946147 6.685246
2025-12-21 0.160626 0.259937 0.430505 0.763717 1.448693 2.924414 6.800653
2025-12-28 0.157298 0.257589 0.432473 0.780475 1.512603 3.136171 7.569610
2026-01-04 0.153512 0.254196 0.432284 0.792880 1.568360 3.336319 8.349014
2026-01-11 0.148928 0.249108 0.428622 0.797946 1.608458 3.504410 9.073223
2026-01-18 0.144450 0.243966 0.424523 0.801745 1.646010 3.671119 9.830133